OPEC Cut Compliance Rises to 118% on Venezuelan Production Decline


New York's NYMEХ (New York Merchantile Exchange) is a U.S. futures market founded in 1882. Stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, declined 4.18 million barrels last week, and the ninth straight decline in overall USA inventories marked the longest-ever stretch of winter draws.

The OPEC forecast of higher rival supply could add to a debate about the effectiveness of keeping the curbs in place.

"It's definitely a constructive report", said Nick Holmes, an analyst at Tortoise Capital Advisors LLC in Leawood, Kansas, which manages $16 billion in energy-related assets. US crude rose 0.1% to $64.06 a barrel. Total volume traded was about 21 percent below the 100-day average.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, settled down 7 cents at $69.31 a barrel.

After falling the previous week due to cold weather, USA crude production rose 258,000 barrels per day to 9.75 million bpd last week. Cushing supplies slid to 42.4 million, levels last seen almost three years ago. For comparison, the estimate for 2017 was 9.3 million barrels per day. Exports climbed by 234,000 barrels a day to 1.25 million.

Fierce competitors for decades, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russian Federation joined forces in late 2016 against the threat posed by a boom in US shale oil, which had flooded markets and sent prices crashing.

Devising an exit strategy for the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) members in the future will not be discussed during Muscat's meeting, as they continue to show full commitment to the agreement, according to Rashidi.

"The continued draw-downs in crude inventories is indicative that the US market is more balanced today than it has been in several years", Matthew Beck, managing director of an $8 billion oil and natural gas portfolio at John Hancock Financial Services Inc.in Boston, said by telephone.

In the meantime, the pressure to change strategy is likely to ease in coming weeks as oil prices retreat, the two banks predict.

They include unprecedented high conformity levels among the 24 participating nations in terms of the production adjustments, strong oil demand growth, and slower than anticipated growth in USA tight oil supply.Barkindo said: "It is worth emphasizing the global importance and impact of the various historic decisions reached in 2016 that have led to the improving market conditions of today."The broad consensus is that the market would be in a much more hard situation without the "Declaration of Cooperation". Analysts, traders are bearish on WTI crude futures, according to a Bloomberg survey. But the strategy gained traction in the second half of the year as stronger demand and supply threats from the Persian Gulf to the North Sea helped deplete brimming storage tanks.

To contact the reporter on this story: Jessica Summers in NY at jsummers24@bloomberg.net.