This broad area of low pressure is meandering around with most thunderstorm activity well to the east in the NW Caribbean Sea.
We continue to watch two areas of interest in the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico and in the Atlantic. Hurricane hunters are scheduled to fly through this storm on Monday, if necessary.
Increased seas, heavy rain and locally gusty winds are expected to be the main threats from this potential tropical cyclone in the Windward Islands.
The main risk with this system, regardless of development, will be very heavy rain along portions of the Gulf Coast.
The hurricane center said the system will continue to bring the potential for heavy rain to parts of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Cayman Islands.
2017 is the first year the National Hurricane Center is issuing products for Potential Tropical Cyclones.
If the Yucatan system becomes a tropical cyclone, it would be named Cindy. Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development of this system while it moves slowly northwestward toward the southern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
Forecasters there said two relied-upon computer models - the ECMWF and GFS - keep the system well south of Alabama. The metros (and surrounding suburbs) of New Orleans and Houston could see large impacts from this system depending on the exact track. The storm, which is less than 400 miles east-southeast of Trinidad, is expected to pour up to 4 inches of rain on the islands through Tuesday.
Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada and Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita.
Landfall along the Gulf Coast would likely be around Wednesday or Thursday. Chris said the system will remain rather weak with winds around 40-45 miles per hour at landfall, but that the storm will contain a lot of moisture.